Saturday, July 26, 2008

Spying requests

We all heard that UK has the greatest number of surveillance cameras in the world. Her citizens are also constantly being monitored on all types of communications. USA has similar development where a recent legislation gives the government greater power in monitoring overseas telephone calls and email transmissions. Many people trust the government in doing the right things, and that she will be careful in handling personal information. Such monitoring may only be used in time of crises, terrorist acts or serious crime. In Hong Kong, the Personal Data (Privacy) Ordinance has an exemption clause that law enforcement agencies may obtain personal data from data owners in case of serious crime. However, we never have any idea of the extent of the exemption.

It is interesting to read the recent article below in BBC regarding the number of "spying requests". Such requests are legitimate actions under the law for data owners such as telecommunication and Internet companies to release the personal information of their customers to the authorities. There are more than 500,000 such requests in UK last year. It should be bear in mind that this figure only represents requests put officially to the companies. They may not include covert operations where official requests were not made, nor data owned by enforcement agencies themselves. The total number of cases investigated may be ten times more, making it 5 million, or 14,000 cases per day.

The other alarming sign emerged is that many such requests for personal data were used in minor offenses instead of serious crimes. The examples quoted by the Interception of Communications Commission were rubbish dumping and tax avoidance. I suspect such practices are widespread. Any bureaucrat could not resist the temptation of readily available information for the expediency of doing their job.

I looked at the article and am amused to note that, on the one hand the Interception of Communications Commission and the Chief Surveillance Commissioner criticized the use of personal data in minor offenses, on the other hand the Home Secretary said it provided vital intelligence that would prevent a terrorist attack, as well as tackling "antisocial behaviour and rogue traders. It may be debatable whether freedom and human rights are infringed and to what extent. In any case, there is nothing wrong in suppressing antisocial behaviour and rogue traders. Actually, the question is what constitutes such behaviour and who can decide.

Tuesday, 22 July 2008 20:56 UK
'Spying' requests exceed 500,000

More than 500,000 official "spying" requests for private communications data such as telephone records were made last year, a report says. Police, security services and other public bodies made requests for billing details and other information. Interception of Communications Commissioner Sir Paul Kennedy said 1,707 of these had been from councils. A separate report criticizes local authorities for using powers to target minor offences such as fly-tipping.

Figures show public bodies made 519,260 requests to "communications providers" such as phone and internet firms for information in 2007. Under available powers, they can see details such as itemized phone bills and website records. But they are not allowed to monitor conversations. The total number of requests for last year - amounting to more than 1,400 a day - compared with an average of fewer than 350,000 a year in the previous two years. In his report, Sir Paul said he believed "local authorities could make much more use of communications data as a powerful tool to investigate crime".

But a separate report, by Chief Surveillance Commissioner Sir Christopher Rose, criticizes the techniques employed by local authorities to deal with minor offences such as fly-tipping or avoiding council tax. He said some councils had a "tendency to expose lack of understanding of the legislation" and displayed a "serious misunderstanding of the concept of proportionality". Some authorizing officers were inexperienced and suffered "poor oversight", he added. He called on town halls to invest in properly trained intelligence officers who could operate covertly.

Home Secretary Jacqui Smith said: "The commissioners' reports offer valuable oversight and provide reassurance that these powers are being used appropriately. "These powers can make a real difference in delivering safer communities and protecting the public - whether enabling us to gain that vital intelligence that will prevent a terrorist attack, working to tackle antisocial behaviour or ensuring that rogue traders do not defraud the public."

Thursday, July 10, 2008

Solar power

I received a notification from McKinsey Quarterly this week regarding a new article on solar power. As it came from McKinsey, you would expect that it would not be a scientific paper. Although the issue on solar power usually gives an impression of state-of-the-art technology, energy used in science fiction or an energy source which is going to save the world, the McKinsey paper is actually on management science, targetting the business environment and competitive strategies of the solar power sector.

With the limited supply of fossil fuel, and the adverse effect of this form of power generation, solar power has always been promoted as an alternative clean and sustainable energy. There has been a great expansion in the solar power sector in the last few decades, bringing some hope that it may eventually replace fossil fuel as the de facto energy source for mankind. Coupled with the rising price of fossil fuel, there is a lucrative future for the solar power industry. However, while developed countries and environmentalists are giving stern warning that emission from burning fossil fuel must be significantly curbed in the next 20 years, solar power is by no mean a saviour to help achieve this goal.

A realistic assessment based on the present rate of progress of development of the solar power industry gives an estimate that, by 2020, global installed solar capacity could be 20 to 40 times its level today. But even if all of the forecast growth occurs, solar energy will represent only about 3 to 6 percent of installed electricity generation capacity, or 1.5 to 3 percent of output in 2020. While solar power can help produce electricity with lower carbon emissions, it remains just one small piece of the puzzle to solve the energy crisis.

On cost competitiveness, an important indicator is the grid parity, which is the point when the price of solar electricity is on par with that of conventional sources of electricity on the power grid. In some regions, it is expected that solar power electricity generation will reach this point a few years away, partly due to government subsidy. However, in some countries such as China and India when the conventional electricity production cost is still low owing to ample supple of cheap coal, the time frame for solar power to achieve this goal is considerably longer.

At present, there are three types of technologies of solar power competing for cost leadership: silicon-wafer-based and thin-film photovoltaics and concentrated solar thermal power. Each has its own constraints.

Silicon-wafer-based photovoltaics

Silicon-wafer-based solar panels and their installation are costly because larger quantities of photovoltaic material are required to make the panels. Also, the technology is starting to approach the theoretical efficiency limit of 31 percent.

Thin-film photovoltaics

Thin-film photovoltaics solar panels are cheaper to make but its theoretical efficiency of 10 percent is much lower. Its durability is uncertain and some of its component materials are toxic.

Concentrated solar thermal power

Concentrated solar thermal power is the cheapest option because it engages simple technology of light reflection. However, it can only be installed at desert locations far away from its users. The simple technology also means there is not much room for cost reduction. The present forecast of the business environment is based on these three technologies. But if there is a major breakthrough such as the emergence of cheaper and more efficient nano-scale thin-film photovoltaics panel, the competitive environment will become uncertain.

On a vision of the road ahead, competitors expect that necessary technological breakthroughs will come from solar-component manufacturers, but rapid progress depends on robustly growing demand from end users, to whom many manufacturers have only limited access. While utility companies have strong relationships with residential, commercial, and industrial customers and understand the economics of serving them, they will have difficulty driving the penetration of solar power unless they have a much clearer sense of the cost potential of different solar technologies. In some regions, regulators can accelerate the move toward grid parity, as they did in California and Germany, but they can’t reduce the real cost of solar power. Poor regulation might even slow the fall in prices.

The threats will come from suppliers of components and raw materials, which will be in short supply owing to fast growth in demand. A business strategy in this direction is vertical integration. Also, there must be a close monitoring of the development of the latest technology on the possible emergence of a substitute. The dependence on government subsidy should be handled cautiously as it may not be sustainable.